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Euro: Exit Now After All?
This week started just like the last one ended: risk aversion dominated the markets. Weak economic indicators from the USA pointed to the global economy losing momentum. In addition, further widening spreads are signAlling that the European debt crisis...
2010-07-04 04:00:28
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Next Week Critical for EURUSD and AUD
More signs of ugliness in the US economy as the May Factory orders number showed a sharp contraction of -1.4% vs. a much smaller negative reading expected. As we discussed this morning, the US jobs report was far more negative than the headlines...
2010-07-04 04:00:03
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Q1 Currency Reserves: EUR Below 30% in EM, 'Others' Gain
The IMF earlier this week published its latest quarterly update of the composition of official foreign exchange reserves (Cofer data). Concentrating on the allocated reserves at the World level, the share of the USD fell marginally to 61.55% in Q1-10...
2010-07-03 04:01:14
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Weekly Focus: Fear of a Major Slowdown is Mounting
The G-20 summit in Canada last week showed that the G-20 countries ambitions from last year for coordinated macroeconomic support for the global economy and changes in financial sector regulation are fAlling apart. Particularly, it has proved difficult...
2010-07-03 04:00:54
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The Week Ahead: EUR Bounces and the USD Sags
The Euro came storming back in a massive wave of short covering on the first trading day of July and a day before US employment data was released. The ostensible basis for the rebound was the successful 3 month ECB refinancing operation (more below),...
2010-07-03 04:00:33
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EUR/USD Bottoming
The dollar was higher against the yen but lower versus the euro ahead of the 4th of July weekend. US nonfarm payrolls fell for the time this year and factory orders declined for the first time in nine months, signaling US economic growth is slowing. For...
2010-07-03 04:00:04
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ECB: Duration on Liquidity Falls Significantly
The ECB’s 12-month long-term refinancing operation (LTRO) conducted in June 2009 expired today, and this reduces the liquidity position by EUR442bn. The expiry is financed by two new ECB operations. Yesterday, EUR132bn was allocated in the...
2010-07-02 04:01:44
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Nonfarm Payrolls To Decline For The First Time In Six Months
All eyes are on nonfarm payrolls today as we will see the first decline in total payrolls in six months. However, it is due to the disturbance from the 2010 Census. If we look at private payrolls alone we expect a poor addition of 60K (consensus: 110K)....
2010-07-02 04:01:25
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
EURUSD Squeeze Continues – Next Step EURUSD 1.30 or 1.20?
The US ISM Manufacturing headline number was much lower than expected at 56.2 vs. 59.0 expected and 59.7 in May. The largest contributors to the fall in the index were Prices Paid, which dropped sharply to 57 vs. 77.5 in May, and New Orders, which fell...
2010-07-02 04:00:54
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Euro Zone Unemployment And UK PMI Construction To Remain Steady
At the end of the week, euro zone will release unemployment for the month of May while UK will release PMI construction. Investors are focusing on economies’ performance meanwhile to appraise the government’s ability to shore up...
2010-07-02 04:00:32
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ISM Moderates: Confirms Slower Growth in the Second Half
In June the ISM index further moderated its positive momentum to 56.2 from 59.7 in May and the peak at 60.4 in April. The ISM index takes into account measures of sentiment on orders, production, supplier deliveries, inventories and employment. In June,...
2010-07-02 04:00:04
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Weak Chinese PMI Data Keeps Risk Appetite In Check
Risk sentiment took a further hit during this morning’s Asian trading session as China’s purchasing managers’ index declined to 52.1 (v 53.2 exp) during June, significantly lower than the previous reading of 53.9. The release showed...
2010-07-01 04:02:34
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Eyes Are On Euro Zone And UK Manufacturing Amid The Debt Woes Spreading In Europe
Amidst the debt crisis spreading in Europe, the euro zone and U.K. will release important data concerning manufacturing which provides along with other sector’s data the economic status of the economy and recovery progress. Source:Eyes Are On Euro...
2010-07-01 04:01:59
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Japan's Largest Manufacturers Rose For A Two Year High Supported By Rebounded Exports
Japanese economy released today the reading of its quarterly Tankan Index, supported by rebounded exports especially from China the main importer for Japanese goods and services. Signaling Europe’s debt crisis has yet to undermine Japanese...
2010-07-01 04:01:20
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Canadian Economic Growth Comes to a Halt in April
After a stellar performance in March, real Canadian GDP took a breather in April, coming in flat on the month. This is a considerable drop from the average 0.5% monthly pace seen over the past 7 months, and marks the weakest performance seen since the...
2010-07-01 04:00:44
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
The U.S. Session Trader's Daily Forex Question
The U.S. session, trader’s daily 09:45 EDT question; “Oh dear, do we now want to take a U.S. based trade and run the risk of a price move stranding things with no momentum, as 80% of U.S. sessions do?” The law of probability says that U.
2010-07-01 04:00:03
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Double-Whammy from NY Conference Board Sinks Recovery Hopes
According to Bloomberg data, when the Fed last imposed a ceiling on the fed funds rate at 0.25% in December 2008, two-year government paper reached a record low yield of 0.6044%. Eighteen months ago the hope was that in two years time the economy would...
2010-06-30 04:01:57
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Dollar And Yen Rise On Renewed Recession Worries
The dollar and yen surged on worries about the global economic recovery. The Conference Board Chinese leading economic index unexpectedly fell; Japanese unemployment rose; and US consumer confidence dropped for the first time in four months. The S&P...
2010-06-30 04:01:19
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Euro Falls As Risk Aversion Returns
As global equity market tumbled on concern that euro zone banks’ fragility might stall economic recovery, risk-off trades dominate currency market. Euro zone banks have to repay an economic stimulus emergency loan amounting up to 442 billion euro to...
2010-06-30 04:00:46
Posted an entry on Forex Trading | Stock Trading | ETF Trading | Financial Education
Global Growth Put Into Question Spurring A Flight To Safety!
More risk aversion gripped the markets yesterday and safe haven currencies benefited once again, the CHF and the JPY were the main performers. EURUJPY made a new 8 year low and the EURCHF traded to fresh new lows at 1.3163. US equities closed below 3%...
2010-06-30 04:00:03
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